Maps: Southern African Countries (Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia)
4. Temperature adequacy
Territorial scope: group of countries
Themes: 2, 3, 4
Dataset description
The map set illustrates the spatial distribution of temperature suitability, expressed as temperature adequacy scores (0–100), for 11 regionally important crops: beans, cassava, cotton, groundnut, maize, millet, rice, sorghum, soybean, sweet potato, and tobacco. It compares these scores for the baseline period (1960–1990) with projections for 2050 under the AR5 RCP8.5 emissions scenario, using the average output of four GCMs: BCC_CSM1.1, BNU_ESM, CCCMA_CANESM2, and CESM1-BGC.
For each crop different evaluation criteria may apply. If more than one temperature element is evaluated, the lowest value determines the temperature adequacy score. Evaluation is according to a rating scale based on Sys et al. (1993)*.
This map set is included in Publication 115b (2018). For methodological details and further information, including interpretations of the various maps, is referred to the publication.
Temperature adequacy maps
Temperature adequacy for beans
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.01. Temperature adequacy for beans, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.02. Temperature adequacy for beans, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.03. Temperature adequacy for beans, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.04. Temperature adequacy for beans, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.05. Temperature adequacy for beans, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for cassava
Evaluated elements:
• mean annual temperature (°C)
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.06. Temperature adequacy for cassava, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.07. Temperature adequacy for cassava, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.08. Temperature adequacy for cassava, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.09. Temperature adequacy for cassava, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.10. Temperature adequacy for cassava, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for cotton
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• maximum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.11. Temperature adequacy for cotton, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.12. Temperature adequacy for cotton, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.13. Temperature adequacy for cotton, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.14. Temperature adequacy for cotton, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.15. Temperature adequacy for cotton, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for groundnut
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• maximum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.16. Temperature adequacy for groundnut, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.17. Temperature adequacy for groundnut, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.18. Temperature adequacy for groundnut, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.19. Temperature adequacy for groundnut, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.20. Temperature adequacy for groundnut, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for maize
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.21. Temperature adequacy for maize, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.22. Temperature adequacy for maize, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.23. Temperature adequacy for maize, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.24. Temperature adequacy for maize, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.25. Temperature adequacy for maize, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for millet
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• maximum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.26. Temperature adequacy for millet, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.27. Temperature adequacy for millet, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.28. Temperature adequacy for millet, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.29. Temperature adequacy for millet, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.30. Temperature adequacy for millet, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for rice
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• maximum temperature (°C) of the warmest month of the year (December)
SAC04.31. Temperature adequacy for rice, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.32. Temperature adequacy for rice, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.33. Temperature adequacy for rice, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.34. Temperature adequacy for rice, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.35. Temperature adequacy for rice, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for sorghum
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• maximum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.36. Temperature adequacy for sorghum, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.37. Temperature adequacy for sorghum, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.38. Temperature adequacy for sorghum, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.39. Temperature adequacy for sorghum, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.40. Temperature adequacy for sorghum, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for soybean
Evaluated elements:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
• minimum temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.41. Temperature adequacy for soybean, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.42. Temperature adequacy for soybean, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.43. Temperature adequacy for soybean, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.44. Temperature adequacy for soybean, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.45. Temperature adequacy for soybean, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for sweet potato
Evaluated element:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.46. Temperature adequacy for sweet potato, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.47. Temperature adequacy for sweet potato, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.48. Temperature adequacy for sweet potato, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.49. Temperature adequacy for sweet potato, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.50. Temperature adequacy for sweet potato, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
Temperature adequacy for tobacco
Evaluated element:
• mean temperature (°C) of the period between December and April
SAC04.51. Temperature adequacy for tobacco, baseline period 1960-1990
SAC04.52. Temperature adequacy for tobacco, 2050 GCM BCC-CSM 1.1 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.53. Temperature adequacy for tobacco, 2050 GCM BNU-ESM (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.54. Temperature adequacy for tobacco, 2050 GCM CCCMA-CANESM2 (emission scenario RCP8.5)
SAC04.55. Temperature adequacy for tobacco, 2050 GCM CESM1-BGC (emission scenario RCP8.5)
* Reference: Sys, C., Van Ranst, E., Debaveye, J. and Beernaert,F. 1993. Land evaluation. Part III. Crop Requirements. Agricultural Publications No. 7, General Administration for Development Cooperation, Brussels, Belgium,199 pp.
SAC04